Race 2B

saisa-north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katherine Baker 35.0% 24.6% 20.2% 11.2% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Douglas Toney 15.9% 20.7% 21.3% 16.2% 12.5% 7.1% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Austin Nettles 13.4% 15.3% 16.2% 18.2% 16.6% 11.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.3%
Lauren McLean 1.3% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 7.2% 10.5% 17.3% 28.6% 24.0%
Cole Barney 16.6% 19.1% 15.6% 15.1% 15.9% 9.7% 4.7% 3.0% 0.3%
Hans Lie-Nielsen 4.2% 4.2% 6.9% 7.9% 12.5% 17.5% 21.1% 19.0% 6.7%
Katie Marren 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 12.0% 12.7% 18.9% 20.2% 12.8% 3.1%
Zoe Williams 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 12.8% 13.5% 17.7% 17.5% 14.4% 5.0%
Tom Nolan 1.4% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 4.0% 3.8% 7.5% 18.6% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.