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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+2.66vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.81+0.64vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.31+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18+0.87vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.83-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.41+1.81vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.23+0.46vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-1.95+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.11-3.58vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Washington1.1516.2%1st Place
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2.64Western Washington University1.8131.8%1st Place
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5.45Western Washington University0.316.7%1st Place
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3.53University of Washington1.0717.5%1st Place
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5.87University of Washington0.185.5%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.8310.8%1st Place
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8.81University of Washington-1.411.2%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-1.231.5%1st Place
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9.62Gonzaga University-1.950.9%1st Place
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6.42University of Oregon0.114.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.474.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 16.2% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 31.8% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 17.5% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Rubin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Hans Scheyer | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 25.0% | 18.5% |
| Chris Connor | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 48.2% |
| Emily Avey | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Marty Weigel | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.