Race 5A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Rogers 11.3% 12.1% 13.4% 16.2% 15.2% 14.5% 9.9% 5.8% 1.6%
John Reddaway 9.3% 10.9% 15.3% 14.1% 16.7% 14.7% 11.1% 5.5% 2.4%
Joshua Kim 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 6.6% 10.8% 11.7% 18.7% 22.7% 16.7%
John Roberts 17.2% 21.8% 18.2% 16.1% 11.6% 7.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Cassie Todd 5.0% 8.7% 9.7% 11.6% 10.5% 14.5% 15.4% 15.9% 8.7%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 9.6% 12.2% 15.3% 14.4% 16.2% 14.2% 10.8% 5.6% 1.7%
Matthew Weber 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 4.1% 7.7% 11.2% 18.7% 48.4%
Patrick Kopiwoda 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 7.2% 7.8% 12.6% 16.8% 23.6% 20.3%
Eliot Caple 38.8% 24.3% 15.3% 11.0% 7.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.