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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.33vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.14+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee1.50-1.03vs Predicted
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5Davidson College0.21+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.82+0.66vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University0.25-1.92vs Predicted
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8Duke University-1.93+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.60-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33College of Charleston2.070.4%1st Place
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3.81Clemson University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Tennessee1.500.2%1st Place
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5.01Davidson College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.08Vanderbilt University0.250.1%1st Place
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8.01Duke University-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.62University of North Carolina-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Baker | 35.1% | 29.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Nettles | 10.3% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Cole Barney | 16.4% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Toney | 23.1% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Williams | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Lauren McLean | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 31.6% | 24.0% | 10.7% |
| Katie Marren | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| James Silber | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 25.6% | 52.3% |
| Tom Nolan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 15.7% | 33.6% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.