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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.47vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+3.46vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.11+1.46vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.47+5.30vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.63+6.57vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-1.24vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-1.42vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-1.62vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.35-3.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.94-0.23vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21-4.99vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+0.49vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63+0.24vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.56-3.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.42-9.58vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.05-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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9.3Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.57Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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4.76Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.38Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.51Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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7.01Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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13.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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12.99SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 9.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 5.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Austin Powers | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 26.9% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 42.5% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 6.0% |
| James Morgan | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.