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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.49vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+3.46vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.63vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47+4.37vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.21+1.05vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.11-2.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35-2.57vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-4.49vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-4.44vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.84vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.56-1.32vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.63-2.49vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-0.87vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.94-5.19vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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4.63Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.37Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.05Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.52Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.56Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.84SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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11.51Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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14.13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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13.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 10.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 16.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Powers | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 22.2% | 16.8% |
| Alexander Johnston | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 7.7% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 41.2% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 22.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.