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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.51vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+4.45vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+2.51vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.71+1.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.11-0.50vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.94+3.75vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35-1.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.42-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.56+1.72vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.47-2.88vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.63-1.49vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.09vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-0.83vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-2.44vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University2.21-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.51George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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5.56Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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4.77Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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6.5Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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9.12Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.51Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
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13.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.08Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 12.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 5.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 41.7% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 26.3% |
| Austin Powers | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.