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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+5.39vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.35+4.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+3.35vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+0.73vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.57vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72-0.43vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.11-2.44vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21-2.05vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-4.49vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.47-1.73vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.56-0.35vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.63-1.48vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.10vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.56vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester0.94-5.18vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.73Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.57SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.95Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.27Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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11.52Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.9SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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13.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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14.27Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 9.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.4% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 25.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 22.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.