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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.43vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+2.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.11+1.47vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21+3.17vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72+0.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-1.37vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47+1.24vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-2.60vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.35-3.47vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.42-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.56-0.33vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.05-0.09vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-0.54vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.94-4.38vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.63-4.38vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.64Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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4.47Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.17Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.53George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.24Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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12.91SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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13.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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11.62Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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14.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 17.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 23.4% | 24.6% |
| Tyler Rochon | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.