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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.60vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+3.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.42+2.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.11-0.47vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-0.40vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47+1.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.35-2.51vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.56+1.62vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.21-3.94vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-6.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.94-2.31vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.63-2.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.53vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.02vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.44George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.59SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.6Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.26Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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7.06Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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11.54Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.98SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Schofield | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 5.6% |
| Austin Powers | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 25.2% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.