Race 4B

saisa-north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katherine Baker 35.8% 26.6% 17.5% 11.6% 5.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Barney 12.5% 18.2% 17.4% 19.7% 16.2% 10.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Douglas Toney 21.1% 19.5% 21.1% 16.4% 13.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Austin Nettles 14.9% 17.5% 18.1% 18.8% 14.5% 12.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Zoe Williams 5.9% 7.6% 10.5% 12.9% 16.6% 21.1% 17.5% 5.7% 2.2%
Lauren McLean 2.1% 1.8% 3.7% 4.7% 8.4% 14.4% 29.0% 27.1% 8.8%
James Silber 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 4.7% 10.2% 25.4% 53.2%
Tom Nolan 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.3% 6.6% 15.5% 33.6% 34.5%
Katie Marren 5.9% 7.4% 8.9% 11.4% 19.4% 21.4% 18.5% 5.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.