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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+3.56vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.11+2.45vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+2.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.69+1.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.39vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.35+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.94+3.76vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.47+1.12vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.21-2.04vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-5.45vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.56-0.34vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-6.53vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-0.54vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.63-3.56vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.02vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.45Georgetown University3.110.2%1st Place
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5.53George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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5.7SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.12Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.96Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.55Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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6.47Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.44Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.98SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 16.5% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Austin Powers | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 6.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 24.7% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 15.9% |
| Adam Hicks | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.