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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.30+5.12vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.15+3.71vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+3.70vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14-1.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.34vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.08+1.85vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.60+4.00vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-4.83vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.82-4.24vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.03vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.65-5.55vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30+0.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.74vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.45-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.87Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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5.66George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.85Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.54Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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14.0University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.17Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.76Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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8.45Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.06Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.26U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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15.41University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Mazzolini | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 21.7% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 24.4% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 8.5% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 20.0% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 27.6% | 29.8% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 24.9% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.