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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+5.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.15+4.64vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+4.64vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+1.78vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.86vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.76vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.30-0.65vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14-4.09vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.82-1.09vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.08+0.07vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-2.51vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.17vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-6.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.33+1.21vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30-0.83vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.45-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.86Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.91Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.91Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.07Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.49Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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15.21U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 21.0% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 26.6% | 30.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 23.8% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 8.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 28.4% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 27.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.