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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.30+5.16vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+2.73vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+2.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.93vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14-1.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.87-0.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.07vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.82-2.30vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-2.53vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.08-1.96vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60+0.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.05-0.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.67vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.71SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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5.73George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.54Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.93Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.04Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.47Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.04Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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15.33U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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15.26Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Mazzolini | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 18.9% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 19.6% | 11.8% |
| Timothy Walsh | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 12.6% | 21.9% | 26.0% | 22.3% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 34.0% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 25.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.