← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.87+6.48vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.30+4.20vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+3.68vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.49+1.81vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.68vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University2.26+0.59vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University3.14-3.06vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.15-1.33vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.82-1.04vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.37-3.96vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University1.65-2.56vs Predicted
-
12Queen's University1.08-1.94vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.02vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-1.33+1.30vs Predicted
-
15University of Maryland-0.60-1.00vs Predicted
-
16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30-0.73vs Predicted
-
17University of Rochester-1.05-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.48Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.2Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
6.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.81George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.68SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
-
6.59Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
3.94Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
6.67U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
-
7.96Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.04Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.44Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.06Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.98SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
-
15.3U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
14.0University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
-
15.27Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.9University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 19.4% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 26.1% | 34.3% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 21.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 10.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 25.4% | 31.9% |
| Timothy Walsh | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.