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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+5.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.49+3.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+4.62vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.30+2.33vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82+2.69vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.08+4.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.08vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-1.78vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-4.73vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.14-8.05vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.60+0.93vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30+1.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-1.45+0.30vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.79-5.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.33-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.61George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.69Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.26Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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8.22Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.27Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.95Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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13.93University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.3University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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15.25U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 21.1% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 7.6% | 24.9% | 26.4% | 16.1% | 9.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 28.3% | 27.8% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 26.5% | 32.9% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 26.5% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.