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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+5.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.30+4.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+3.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14-0.03vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82+2.62vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49-0.13vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37-0.90vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.65+0.14vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.07vs Predicted
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10Queen's University1.08+0.03vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87-3.16vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.15-5.30vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.98vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30+1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.45-0.63vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-1.33-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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3.97Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.62Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.1Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.14Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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10.03Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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15.17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.37University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
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15.21U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 19.4% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 15.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 25.7% | 28.8% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 23.8% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 8.4% |
| Peter Fiala | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 25.0% | 34.1% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 26.7% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.