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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Tennessee1.50+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+0.80vs Predicted
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4Clemson University1.56-0.85vs Predicted
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5Davidson College0.21+0.39vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.25-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.82+0.17vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.07-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.60-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5College of Charleston2.070.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Tennessee1.500.1%1st Place
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3.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.1%1st Place
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3.15Clemson University1.560.2%1st Place
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5.39Davidson College0.210.0%1st Place
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5.43Vanderbilt University0.250.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.0Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.06University of North Carolina-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Baker | 32.5% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Toney | 14.9% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Cole Barney | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Herridge | 21.1% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Zoe Williams | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Katie Marren | 5.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 2.7% |
| Lauren McLean | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 33.9% | 23.6% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 22.0% | 19.1% | 7.5% |
| Tom Nolan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 19.6% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.