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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.49+4.57vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+4.32vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+4.70vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.87vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+0.93vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14-1.95vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65+1.38vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.46vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.82-0.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.15-3.31vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.30-4.56vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-1.33+2.23vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.08-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.60-1.04vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.05-1.09vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.32Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.87SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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5.93Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.38Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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8.02Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.87SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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15.23U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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10.22Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.91University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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15.29Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Poon Tip | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 19.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 26.4% | 34.4% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 19.9% | 25.5% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Timothy Walsh | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 25.9% | 22.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.