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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.67vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+1.88vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+2.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15+2.87vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65+3.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.30+0.46vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.27vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37-2.00vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.87-1.16vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.82-2.31vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.08-0.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-1.33+3.27vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester-1.05+1.77vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.60+0.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.79-4.07vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.30-0.79vs Predicted
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17Hampton University2.26-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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3.88Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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5.71George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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8.21Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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6.0Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.84Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.69Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.19Queen's University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.27U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Rochester-1.050.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.93SUNY Stony Brook0.790.0%1st Place
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15.21Rochester Institute of Technology-1.300.0%1st Place
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6.5Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lawless | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 20.2% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wyndham | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 25.5% | 33.6% |
| Timothy Walsh | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 23.4% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 22.9% | 21.7% | 11.3% |
| James Gilmore III | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Amit Rogel | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 12.0% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 31.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.