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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+1.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.33+1.71vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.12+2.84vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.02vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.93-1.80vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University0.55-2.04vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.51-2.97vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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5.84Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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4.7Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.2Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.96Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.03Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.53Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 45.7% | 28.0% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 12.5% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 8.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 32.4% |
| Caden Buckley | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 3.7% |
| Nicole Edwards | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Wyatt Henke | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.