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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.33+2.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+0.14vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University0.55+2.00vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.93+0.17vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64-0.32vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97+1.52vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.80vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
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2.14Tufts University2.390.4%1st Place
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5.0Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.17Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.68Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.52Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.78Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.0Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 15.9% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 41.5% | 27.5% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Wyatt Henke | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 22.6% | 44.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 8.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 26.5% | 34.4% |
| Nicole Edwards | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.