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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.33+2.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.39+0.13vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.64+1.83vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97+3.44vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University0.55-0.16vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.93-1.79vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.79vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.51-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
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2.13Tufts University2.390.4%1st Place
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4.83Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.44Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.84Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.81Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.0Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 16.1% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 40.7% | 29.7% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Wyatt Henke | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 42.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 11.4% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 8.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 23.4% | 36.4% |
| Nicole Edwards | 8.1% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.