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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+1.01vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.51+3.20vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.93+1.26vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.12+1.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.33-1.54vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.19vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64-3.19vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
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5.2Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.62Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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3.46Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
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4.9Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.81Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 45.8% | 27.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Caden Buckley | 8.8% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 17.8% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 25.9% | 32.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Wyatt Henke | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.