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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+1.02vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.64+2.99vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.93+1.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.33-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.07vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.55-1.09vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.51-1.99vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University0.12-2.23vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
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4.99Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.4Tufts University1.330.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.91Wesleyan University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.01Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.77Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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7.54Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 45.1% | 28.5% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 9.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 16.6% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 25.4% | 32.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 3.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 10.1% |
| Wyatt Henke | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.