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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+0.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.33+1.55vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University-0.24+3.31vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.82vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.93-1.96vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.97+0.44vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.51-3.14vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University0.12-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.31Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.51Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.44Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.86Columbia University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.54Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 48.0% | 26.9% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 13.0% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Abe Kipnis | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 28.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Wyatt Henke | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 42.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.