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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+1.53vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.56+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of Tennessee1.50+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23-0.33vs Predicted
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5Davidson College0.21+0.41vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.25-0.55vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.07-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-0.82-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-1.60-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53College of Charleston2.070.3%1st Place
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3.37Clemson University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.32University of Tennessee1.500.2%1st Place
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3.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.2%1st Place
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5.41Davidson College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.45Vanderbilt University0.250.1%1st Place
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6.04Duke University-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.05University of North Carolina-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Baker | 31.9% | 25.5% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Herridge | 15.5% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Douglas Toney | 19.2% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cole Barney | 15.8% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Zoe Williams | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 4.8% |
| Katie Marren | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Hans Lie-Nielsen | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 7.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 34.5% | 23.8% |
| Tom Nolan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 18.7% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.