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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+0.50vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.27+2.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.95+0.21vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University-0.43+1.53vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89+1.28vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77+0.22vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.51-1.25vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.46-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Tufts University2.480.7%1st Place
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4.45Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.53Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.28Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.22Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.75Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.32Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 65.5% | 23.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 4.3% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Pere Puig | 12.5% | 28.0% | 22.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 7.9% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| Mara Terchunian | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 18.7% | 15.6% |
| Haley Collins | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 42.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 5.7% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.