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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+0.52vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.27+2.45vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.95-1.84vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89+0.33vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.46+0.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.77-1.84vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.51-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Tufts University2.480.6%1st Place
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4.45Fairfield University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.6Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.33Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
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7.4Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.69Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 64.1% | 24.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 4.4% | 10.4% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| David Tampellini | 2.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
| Kelsey Martins | 5.0% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Pere Puig | 14.8% | 28.8% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 43.4% |
| Mara Terchunian | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| Haley Collins | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.