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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+0.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.95+1.32vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.51+2.80vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.27+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.33vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77+0.15vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.41vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.46-0.64vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Tufts University2.480.7%1st Place
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3.32Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.8Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.2Fairfield University0.270.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.15Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.59Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.36Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 65.3% | 21.5% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pere Puig | 10.4% | 27.1% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Haley Collins | 2.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Beardsley | 6.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 5.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 14.3% |
| David Tampellini | 3.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 42.7% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.