← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.48+0.56vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.59+2.00vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University-0.51+2.82vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.95-0.80vs Predicted
-
5Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.49vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University-0.77+0.21vs Predicted
-
7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University-1.46-0.63vs Predicted
-
9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.56Tufts University2.480.6%1st Place
-
4.0Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
-
5.82Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
3.2Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
-
5.49Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.21Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.48Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
-
7.37Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
-
4.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 62.3% | 24.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Daley | 6.4% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Haley Collins | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| Pere Puig | 14.1% | 24.7% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Tampellini | 3.1% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
| Mara Terchunian | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 18.9% | 14.1% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 18.8% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 43.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.