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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.95+2.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48-0.36vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-0.43+2.70vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59-0.23vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51+0.68vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.77+0.19vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-1.46+0.45vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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1.64Tufts University2.480.6%1st Place
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5.7Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.77Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.68Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.45Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.48Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pere Puig | 13.3% | 24.8% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Julien Guiot | 58.0% | 25.6% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Brian Daley | 9.7% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Haley Collins | 3.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Mara Terchunian | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 44.0% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.