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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48-0.43vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.77+2.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95-0.96vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.43+0.17vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89+0.05vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.51-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.84vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.46-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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1.57Tufts University2.480.6%1st Place
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5.96Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.17Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.05Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.45Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.04Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Daley | 10.0% | 20.5% | 22.0% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 61.1% | 25.3% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 1.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 10.1% |
| Pere Puig | 14.8% | 25.9% | 25.6% | 17.6% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| David Tampellini | 3.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% |
| Haley Collins | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 33.7% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.