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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+0.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.95+1.20vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.89+3.12vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59-0.48vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.51+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+1.11vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.77-1.07vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.46-0.94vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.43-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Tufts University2.480.7%1st Place
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3.2Tufts University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.890.0%1st Place
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3.52Fairfield University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.3Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.93Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.06Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.26Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 65.5% | 22.4% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pere Puig | 10.8% | 26.9% | 25.9% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Mears | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 12.2% |
| Brian Daley | 9.6% | 20.6% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Haley Collins | 3.5% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 6.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 31.9% |
| Mara Terchunian | 2.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 11.5% |
| Kevin Winnie | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 32.2% |
| David Tampellini | 3.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.