← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Douglas Toney 20.6% 18.7% 21.3% 17.9% 12.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Cole Barney 11.4% 17.2% 19.2% 20.0% 18.1% 8.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Lauren McLean 1.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.8% 14.8% 28.9% 26.4% 11.3%
Katherine Baker 35.8% 27.2% 18.2% 10.3% 6.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Collins 18.4% 20.1% 17.3% 18.0% 13.9% 8.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Katie Marren 5.3% 6.7% 8.8% 12.7% 18.3% 24.9% 16.9% 5.6% 0.8%
Zoe Williams 5.6% 5.8% 8.2% 12.4% 17.9% 24.7% 16.7% 7.1% 1.6%
Tom Nolan 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 4.0% 5.9% 15.8% 33.4% 34.7%
James Silber 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 4.3% 12.3% 24.7% 51.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.