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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Tennessee1.50+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.23+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia-0.82+3.73vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.07-1.69vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.35-1.69vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University0.25-0.93vs Predicted
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7Davidson College0.21-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.60-0.36vs Predicted
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9Duke University-1.93-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Tennessee1.500.2%1st Place
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3.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.230.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Georgia-0.820.0%1st Place
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2.31College of Charleston2.070.4%1st Place
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3.31Clemson University1.350.2%1st Place
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5.07Vanderbilt University0.250.1%1st Place
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5.17Davidson College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.64University of North Carolina-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.98Duke University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Toney | 20.6% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Barney | 11.4% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McLean | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 14.8% | 28.9% | 26.4% | 11.3% |
| Katherine Baker | 35.8% | 27.2% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Collins | 18.4% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katie Marren | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 24.9% | 16.9% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Zoe Williams | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Tom Nolan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 15.8% | 33.4% | 34.7% |
| James Silber | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 12.3% | 24.7% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.