Race 8B

saisa-north-points-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Douglas Toney 20.0% 20.6% 19.1% 17.6% 12.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Mary Collins 14.1% 17.9% 20.0% 18.8% 15.7% 8.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Cole Barney 15.8% 16.2% 16.7% 18.5% 18.8% 10.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine Baker 36.0% 27.3% 17.6% 11.9% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Katie Marren 5.5% 7.1% 11.7% 14.3% 16.4% 22.1% 14.5% 7.1% 1.3%
Zoe Williams 5.4% 6.5% 8.3% 11.3% 17.6% 24.9% 19.1% 6.1% 0.8%
Lauren McLean 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 7.6% 13.4% 31.5% 24.9% 11.3%
Tom Nolan 0.7% 1.1% 2.5% 1.8% 3.8% 6.8% 14.8% 33.4% 35.1%
James Silber 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 4.7% 10.6% 26.3% 51.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.