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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.74+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+0.39vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.44+0.25vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.87-2.22vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.08-3.34vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-2.89-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Eckerd College2.740.4%1st Place
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3.39University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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4.25Rollins College0.440.1%1st Place
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2.78Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.66Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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5.94Embry-Riddle University-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Nelson | 43.5% | 29.8% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Sara Simon | 10.4% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 30.2% | 21.2% | 0.7% |
| Nelson Millett | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.7% | 58.8% | 2.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 19.6% | 22.4% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 9.0% | 0.2% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 21.4% | 26.6% | 24.1% | 20.5% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Johnson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.