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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+7.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.97vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50+8.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.21+3.39vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.29vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.76vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.73vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-0.73vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.97vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.33-4.01vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.29-4.76vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.58-6.87vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.56-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.11Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.18George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.27Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.24Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.13Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 13.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 31.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Madison Gates | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.