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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+9.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.21+9.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+7.07vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+3.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.06vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+0.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+1.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+2.61vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-1.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-3.31vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.29-3.90vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.49vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-2.77vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.16George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.01Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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12.61Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.23Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Madison Gates | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Katja Sertl | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 34.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.