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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.97vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+5.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.75vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.32vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+3.40vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04-0.49vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29+1.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.21+0.05vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.86vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+0.34vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+2.50vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-5.73vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.97vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.33-6.38vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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9.4George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.42Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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11.05University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.34Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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16.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.03Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katja Sertl | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Madison Gates | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 21.5% | 12.6% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 64.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.