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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.79vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+3.50vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.50+8.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.01vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.58+2.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.71vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+0.52vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.29+0.85vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+0.94vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-3.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.21-4.17vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-9.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.61-7.56vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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13.35Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.85Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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16.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 21.8% | 13.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Katja Sertl | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Madison Gates | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 12.7% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.