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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.21+9.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84-0.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+5.67vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+2.35vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61+1.17vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56+0.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.29+0.72vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97+0.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.40vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-5.69vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.65vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.58-5.68vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12-0.39vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.33-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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11.67Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.81Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.31Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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13.42Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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16.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Gates | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 18.2% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 11.9% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 67.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.