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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.58+8.51vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+7.41vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+4.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+5.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.21+1.75vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33+0.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98+0.75vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.97+0.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-8.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.29-3.85vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.58-5.74vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+0.58vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-7.16vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.41Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.23Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.75University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.75Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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12.02Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.15Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.26George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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16.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madison Gates | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 6.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 13.8% | 66.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.