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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.52vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+7.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.58+6.58vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.21+5.66vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+0.79vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-3.32vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.29+1.43vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-0.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-0.56vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+1.62vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.21vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-4.68vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.12+1.58vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-8.48vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-5.17vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.98-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida2.210.0%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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10.43Boston College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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13.62Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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16.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.120.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.83Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Madison Gates | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katja Sertl | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 24.3% | 13.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jamila Smith-Dell | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 66.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.