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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+8.47vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.44+7.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+6.04vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+3.69vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+6.71vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+2.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.22vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.66vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70+3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.71vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.72vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.26vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-7.43vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.86vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.76-5.02vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.51-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.02Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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13.74Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.98Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Mary Paz | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% |
| Emily Petno | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 28.5% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.