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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.44+8.18vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.38+7.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+3.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.36+8.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-1.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+0.72vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.67vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.83vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-1.20vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.15-0.36vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.74-3.23vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-10.02vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.51-4.14vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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13.04Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.8Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.77Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| India Johnstone | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| Marly Isler | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Petno | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 26.2% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.