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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+8.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+8.10vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.88vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.44+4.80vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+6.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+2.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.71vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-0.21vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.76-2.16vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-2.76vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.36+1.48vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-7.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.70-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.51-2.40vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.98vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-8.63vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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11.66Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.48Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
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5.88Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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14.02Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Morran | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 22.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 28.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.