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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+7.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.97vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+3.60vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+2.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.44+3.01vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.76vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+1.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.96vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.15+4.23vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.70+1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.26vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-2.39vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-2.39vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.76-4.15vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-10.85vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.21Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.6Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.74University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.76Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.2George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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14.23Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.61Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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11.85Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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6.15Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emily Petno | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| India Johnstone | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 31.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.