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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+8.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+8.30vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.38+6.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.44+4.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.73-0.31vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56+2.88vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.70+1.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.74vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.41vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.74-2.37vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.65-6.91vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-1.89vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.76-9.13vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.76-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.16Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.63Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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14.11Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.63Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| India Johnstone | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Mary Paz | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 31.7% |
| Marly Isler | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.