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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.44+8.15vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+4.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.56+6.52vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.15+6.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+1.70vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.86vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74+2.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-2.00vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.84vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.70-3.08vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.20-9.93vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.38-7.77vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.36-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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13.88Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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12.06Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.92Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.06Brown University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Marly Isler | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 27.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Emily Petno | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.7% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Meredith Morran | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.